Тенденції зміни державного боргу України та дефіциту державного бюджету в часовому аспекті

Abstract

Розкрито сутність понять «дефіцит» і «державний борг». Виконано аналіз державного боргу України та дефіциту державного бюджету, зазначено основні тенденції їх зміни в часовому аспекті. Запропоновано заходи щодо вдосконалення механізму управління державним боргом в умовах нестабільної економіки України.

The article reveals the essence of the concept of «deficit» and «national debt». It is compared revenues and expenditures of the consolidated budget of Ukraine for 2003 – 2016 years and found that during the period of observation budget of Ukraine was scarce. There have been consolidated budget deficit is compared Ukraine to the limit specified by the Maastricht Treaty. The dynamics of «hidden» deficit of the consolidated budget of Ukraine for 2003 – 2016 years and compared the values with actual values deficit. To determine the real budget deficit of complexity for Ukraine would consider the tools and sources of funding made it. Also within our analytical study found a direct link between the budget deficit and public debt. Using the information contained on the official site of «Price State» and «State Statistics Service of Ukraine» analyzed public and publicly guaranteed debt of Ukraine for 2003 – 2016 years. The dynamics of public and publicly guaranteed debt, using basic and chain indexes. Determined the ratio of public and publicly guaranteed debt to GDP and compared with an indicator of safe levels. The dynamics resize public and publicly guaranteed debt of Ukraine during the analyzed period. The factors influence the formation of the value of the debt. For thorough analysis analyzed the structure of public and publicly guaranteed debt of Ukraine for the past 14 years. It was also investigated the structure of public debt due to repayment of foreign currency during 2003 – 2015 years. It is shown as the cost of servicing and repayment of public debt provides one citizen and working. The measures on the improved debt management in a volatile economy of Ukraine.