Наукова стаття

Modeling Potential Construction Failures: An Algorithmic Method to Increase Project Reliability

Пічугін, Сергій Федорович

The study proposes an algorithm-based methodology for modeling construction accident scenarios to improve the reliability and safety of building structures. Based on statistical analysis of accidents from 2000 to 2022, the approach identifies critical structural elements and potential failure scenarios. Its application to a multi-storey industrial building demonstrates the practical potential of the methodology for preventive design and reducing the risk of structural failures.

The study presents a methodology for increasing the reliability of construction projects by developing and applying an algorithm for modeling possible accident occurrences. The research is based on a comprehensive statistical analysis of construction accidents from 2000 to 2022, identifying the most frequent causes and patterns of failures. The developed algorithm allows simulation of accident scenarios at different design and operational stages of a building, distinguishing three levels of modeling significance. The methodology was tested on a multi-storey industrial building using GSA standards. The analysis demonstrated that the proposed approach effectively identifies critical structural elements and potential failure scenarios, enabling preventive design measures. The practical significance of this work lies in its ability to provide engineersand designers with a reliable tool for predicting and preventing failures in construction projects, thereby improving structural safety and reducing economic losses. The results confirm the algorithm’s applicability as a practical tool for enhancing safety and robustness of building structures.

Англійська (США)

2026-05

structural reliability

Journal of Physics: Conference Series. Dnipro, Ukraine.

Pichugin S. Modeling Potential Construction Failures: An Algorithmic Method to Increase Project Reliability / S. Pichugin, L. Klochko and A. Dmytrenko // Journal of Physics: Conference Series: Innovative Technologies in Construction, Civil Engineering, and Architecture (ITCCEA 2025) 20/10/2025 - 21/10/2025 Dnipro, Ukraine. P.012045. – 2026. – Issue 1, volume 3251.

1742-6596

10.1088/1742-6596/3251/1/012045

69.059